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Will Apple announce a new flagship iPhone generation by September 30, 2026?

Resolves Yes if Apple officially announces a new flagship iPhone generation released after the iPhone 17 line on or before September 30, 2026 at 11:59 p.m. ET. An update limited to an existing model, software release, or iPhone SE/e-style budget model does not qualify.

90%YES probability
Volume500 TP
Predictors1
ClosesSep 30 · 11:59 PM ET

Probability history

Market movement

90% YES
0%50%100%

Resolution rules

Resolves Yes if Apple officially announces a new flagship iPhone generation released after the iPhone 17 line on or before September 30, 2026 at 11:59 p.m. ET. An update limited to an existing model, software release, or iPhone SE/e-style budget model does not qualify.

Primary sourceApple Newsroom - iPhone

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