Will Democrats win at least 218 U.S. House seats in the 2026 elections?
Resolves Yes if Democratic candidates are certified as winning at least 218 seats for the Congress beginning January 3, 2027. Unresolved races delay settlement until enough results are official to determine the outcome.
53%YES probability
Volume0 TP
Predictors0
ClosesNov 3 · 6:00 PM ET
Probability history
Market movement
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Resolution rules
Resolves Yes if Democratic candidates are certified as winning at least 218 seats for the Congress beginning January 3, 2027. Unresolved races delay settlement until enough results are official to determine the outcome.
Primary sourceCertified state election results and the Clerk of the U.S. House
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