Will Firefly’s Blue Ghost Mission 2 launch by December 31, 2026?
Resolves Yes if NASA or Firefly Aerospace confirms that Blue Ghost Mission 2 lifted off on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 p.m. ET. A scrubbed attempt without liftoff does not count.
50%YES probability
Volume0 TP
Predictors0
ClosesDec 31 · 11:59 PM ET
Probability history
Market movement
0%50%100%
Resolution rules
Resolves Yes if NASA or Firefly Aerospace confirms that Blue Ghost Mission 2 lifted off on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 p.m. ET. A scrubbed attempt without liftoff does not count.
Primary sourceNASA Blue Ghost Mission 2 launch page: https://www.nasa.gov/event/clps-flight-firefly-aerospaces-blue-ghost-mission-2/
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