Will Google publicly release a model named Gemini 4 by December 31, 2026?
Resolves Yes if Google or Google DeepMind makes a model explicitly branded Gemini 4, including a Gemini 4.x variant, generally available to consumers or developers by December 31, 2026, 11:59 p.m. ET. Private previews do not count.
50%YES probability
Volume0 TP
Predictors0
ClosesDec 31 · 11:59 PM ET
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Market movement
0%50%100%
Resolution rules
Resolves Yes if Google or Google DeepMind makes a model explicitly branded Gemini 4, including a Gemini 4.x variant, generally available to consumers or developers by December 31, 2026, 11:59 p.m. ET. Private previews do not count.
Primary sourceGoogle and Google DeepMind official announcements: https://blog.google/technology/ai/
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