Will October 2026 U.S. headline CPI inflation be below 3.0% year over year?
YES if the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics initially reports the October 2026 all-items CPI-U 12-month change as less than 3.0% in its November 10 release. Exactly 3.0% or higher resolves NO. Use the first published figure; later revisions do not change the outcome.
50%YES probability
Volume0 TP
Predictors0
ClosesNov 9 · 11:59 PM ET
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0%50%100%
Resolution rules
YES if the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics initially reports the October 2026 all-items CPI-U 12-month change as less than 3.0% in its November 10 release. Exactly 3.0% or higher resolves NO. Use the first published figure; later revisions do not change the outcome.
Primary sourceBLS Consumer Price Index release, scheduled November 10, 2026: https://www.bls.gov/schedule/news_release/cpi.htm
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