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Will OpenAI deploy its Jalapeño AI chip by December 31, 2026?

Resolves Yes if OpenAI or Broadcom publicly confirms that OpenAI’s Jalapeño inference chip has entered operational deployment on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 p.m. ET. Testing or delivery of a prototype without operational deployment does not count.

50%YES probability
Volume0 TP
Predictors0
ClosesDec 31 · 11:59 PM ET

Probability history

Market movement

50% YES
0%50%100%

Resolution rules

Resolves Yes if OpenAI or Broadcom publicly confirms that OpenAI’s Jalapeño inference chip has entered operational deployment on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 p.m. ET. Testing or delivery of a prototype without operational deployment does not count.

Primary sourceOpenAI official announcements: https://openai.com/index/openai-broadcom-jalapeno-inference-chip/

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