Will OpenAI publicly release GPT-6 by December 31, 2026?
Resolves Yes if OpenAI makes a model explicitly named GPT-6 generally available in ChatGPT or the OpenAI API by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 p.m. ET. A preview unavailable to the public, or a model with another name, does not qualify.
22%YES probability
Volume0 TP
Predictors0
ClosesDec 31 · 11:59 PM ET
Probability history
Market movement
0%50%100%
Resolution rules
Resolves Yes if OpenAI makes a model explicitly named GPT-6 generally available in ChatGPT or the OpenAI API by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 p.m. ET. A preview unavailable to the public, or a model with another name, does not qualify.
Primary sourceOpenAI product announcements and official model documentation
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